When Intelligence
Is Free
The price of thinking is collapsing, the way the price of electricity did a century ago. The biggest gains came from what cheap power made possible, not from selling the power itself.
What AI can reproduce
- Routine analysis
- Content production
- Back office / BPO
- Per-seat software
What AI consumes more of
- Energy & grid
- Cooling & data centers
- Physical actuation
- Agent rails & verification
What AI can't create
- Land & prime space
- Authentic experience
- Scarce rights / access
- Human attention
What AI makes viable
- Long-tail markets
- Cost-collapse services
- Continuous systems
- Abundance-native primitives
Version one of the map. It changes when the evidence changes.
Build the map
Where the next decade's largest companies come from, and why most of the obvious AI bets sit on the wrong side of the collapse. Named companies, real numbers, and the conditions that would prove the map wrong.
Read the researchTest it with capital
Opinions are free; positions are not. The same map held as a concentrated book: performance against the index, what is in it, and what changed each month, published as it happens.
See the strategyApply it to a decision
Every market is being commoditised in one place and repriced in another. The work is telling which is which, before the roadmap is set and the capital is committed.
Explore advisoryVladimir Goloborodko
Two decades on every side of how companies are built and changed — consulting Partner, product leader at scale, venture-builder Partner, founder. I read where value moves as intelligence gets cheap, back that read with capital, and advise the people making the same call.
Read it before it's consensus
Essays as they ship, a short note at every monthly close, and a full review each quarter.