Investments

The public investment book

I invest behind the research. See the positions, returns and decisions as the thesis meets the market.

Performance

As of the official close · 30 Sep 2026 · unaudited · updated monthly
+77.8%
Strategy · net
+44.7%
Nasdaq-100 · price return
−14.7%
Max drawdown · month-end
Strategy · net Nasdaq-100 · price return
−50.0%0.0%+50.0%+100.0%Jan 2025Jul 2025Feb 2026Sep 2026

Past performance does not predict future returns

PeriodStrategy · netNasdaq-100Difference
1 month −0.8% +3.2% −4.0pp
3 months +8.7% +0.4% +8.3pp
12 months +9.1% +23.2% −14.1pp
Since inception +77.8% +44.7% +33.1pp
Strategy · net Nasdaq-100 · price return
−20.0%−10.0%0.0%+10.0%+20.0%+30.0% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
PeriodStrategy · netNasdaq-100Difference
Sep 2026 −0.8% +3.2% −4.0pp
Aug 2026 +10.0% +4.2% +5.8pp
Jul 2026 −0.3% −6.6% +6.3pp
Show earlier months (18)
PeriodStrategy · netNasdaq-100Difference
Jun 2026 −14.4% −0.2% −14.2pp
May 2026 +9.6% +10.5% −0.9pp
Apr 2026 +12.7% +15.6% −2.9pp
Mar 2026 −11.3% −4.9% −6.5pp
Feb 2026 −1.5% −2.3% +0.8pp
Jan 2026 +4.0% +1.2% +2.9pp
Dec 2025 +5.2% −0.7% +5.9pp
Nov 2025 −5.5% −1.6% −3.9pp
Oct 2025 +5.1% +4.8% +0.3pp
Sep 2025 +23.1% +5.4% +17.7pp
Aug 2025 +4.9% +0.8% +4.0pp
Jul 2025 +4.5% +2.4% +2.1pp
Jun 2025 +6.4% +6.3% +0.1pp
May 2025 +8.9% +9.0% −0.2pp
Apr 2025 −4.4% +1.5% −5.9pp
Mar 2025 +5.8% −7.7% +13.5pp
Feb 2025 −4.1% −2.8% −1.3pp
Jan 2025 +7.6% +2.2% +5.4pp

Inside the book

As of the official close · 30 Sep 2026 · unaudited · updated monthly

Allocation by sleeve

Physical scarcity17.0%
Compute & platforms12.9%
Survivors, tolls & second wave7.8%
Moonshots2.4%
Macro scenario bets36.8%
Reserve & optionality23.2%

Top 5 published positions

Company or fund% NAV
Strategy Inc22.5%
Sprott Physical Silver Trust14.3%
iShares USD Treasury Bond 0-1yr UCITS ETF7.9%
Tesla Inc6.5%
Alphabet Inc Class A6.3%

Q3 2026 · AI Capital Cycle Review

The Boom Can Break While the Business Grows

AI demand strengthened during Q3, but financing its expansion became harder. The review explores how useful infrastructure could change owners without the technology failing and where that could create opportunities.

Read the Q3 review ↗